Binary Options Training 2 Free Personalized Class Offer

The Covert Society Review-Is The Covert Society Scam-Download Free

You Are Now Reading The Covert Society Review! This My Experienced Based 100% Unbiased The Covert Society Review! Read Carefully.
What The Covert Society Software All About? Does George Cox' s The Covert Society Review Really Work? Find Out The Truth About The Covert Society Before You Download it!
Product Name: The Covert Society
Creator: George Cox' s
Niche: Binary/Forex
Price: Basically Free ( Bonus Package Included)
Website: The Covert Society Official Website
Did ever wonder why some are able to make thousands of dollars trading, but could barely count? Maybe they can count, but don’t really have the mathematical knowledge and brain power to calculate all the necessary signals required to do effective trading.
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Well, it’s because they use computer software to do that for them. After all we live in technology age where phones have more computing power than most powerful computer 10 years ago. No wonder counting in your head is slowly becoming obsolete.
The problem is that most of these software are only available to the few elite, or have their price inflated so only big companies can afford them.
What are binary options? - The Covert Society
Binary options are one of the most lucrative methods for making money quickly on the internet. All that is required is a computer and an internet connection. With binary options, you can bet on rising or falling exchange rates and prices of indices, commodities and shares over a foreseeable time period.
This means that binary options can only produce one of two scenarios. If the Defined event takes place, the buyer receives a fixed amount. Otherwise, the option expires and therefore worthless. The benefit in this form of trade is the high profits coupled with manageable losses. Even small market movements can produce interesting capital yields. Further, profits can be Realized in a very short time frame, given that the expiry period of the option is usually set at only a few days or even hours.
Download The Covert Society From Official Website And Claim Your $300 Bonus Deposit
To quickly increase your money, only a knowledge of the direction of the movement of the investment before its expiry is needed. And that is exactly, where this new “super weapon” comes in…
How does The Covert Society Software work?
The Covert Society System is the English version of Option Rally and is a semi-automated trade program for binary options. It analyses 11 indicators and initiates a trade that only needs to be confirmed by the user. This rules out errors and frustrating days in front of the computer. A few clicks is all it takes.
1) Download
You can download the software free and without obligation from the official website.
You can test The Covert Society System with $500 Demo money WITHOUT depositing money and convince yourself of power of The Covert Society System!
Once the trial period expires, you can choose to purchase the full version. The price is set by trade volume and starts at $297 to $2397 per month.
2) Installation and activation
The installation process is self-explanatory and only takes a few minutes. The trade account with Vault Options Finance is equally created in just a few steps.
For a proper trial, I would recommend loading the Options Maker Finance trading account with at least 200, – $ or more. Depositing funds is secure and smooth, whether you use your credit card, a bank transfer or any other popular payment method.
3) Use
Once you have deposited funds, your software is ready to use immediately. As soon as you receive a signal, simply confirm the trade. 1 click – that’s it!
I was really impressed with the ease of use. All procedures are explained in detail and foolproof. I set up my first trade at dusk and realized a substantial profit on my first day.
Download The Covert Society From Official Website And Claim Your $300 Bonus Deposit
What We Like Best With The Platform:
Once we access the member’s area, here are what is included:
Pros:
Download The Covert Society From Official Website And Claim Your $300 Bonus Deposit
Cons:
Bottom Line:
The Covert Society System is definitely not a scam. It’s a free training. You are the one to decide how much money you should put into Forex. This is plain and simple. I’ve followed this training from past 1 week and have made over $2540 in profits. I only invested $500 when I started. I just can’t believe it is possible. I never thought about putting my money into Forex because of the hesitation and risk of loosing money but now I’m relieved to see the profits I’m making.
Download The Covert Society From Official Website And Claim Your $300 Bonus Deposit
submitted by maheshmabu to COVERTREVIEW [link] [comments]

The $100K Club Review - Latest Software ! The $100K Club

Wait! Before you buy The $100K Club, Read Simon Johnson's The $100K Club System Review - find out if it stands up to the hype! Is it Legit or Scam?
What is The $100K Club :
The $100K Club System is the English version of Option Rally and is a semi-automated trade program for binary options. It analyses 11 indicators and initiates a trade that only needs to be confirmed by the user. This rules out errors and frustrating days in front of the computer. A few clicks is all it takes. .
==>Check Out The 100K Club Official Website<==
.
1) Download
You can download the software free and without obligation from the official website at
You can test The $100K Club System with $500 Demo money WITHOUT depositing money and convince yourself of power of The $100K Club System!
Once the trial period expires, you can choose to purchase the full version. The price is set by trade volume and starts at $297 to $2397 per month.
2) Installation and activation
The installation process is self-explanatory and only takes a few minutes. The trade account with Vault Options Finance is equally created in just a few steps.
For a proper trial, I would recommend loading the Options Maker Finance trading account with at least 200, – $ or more. Depositing funds is secure and smooth, whether you use your credit card, a bank transfer or any other popular payment method.
3) Use
Once you have deposited funds, your software is ready to use immediately. As soon as you receive a signal, simply confirm the trade. 1 click – that’s it!
I was really impressed with the ease of use. All procedures are explained in detail and foolproof. I set up my first trade at dusk and realised a substantial profit on my first day.
What We Like Best With The Platform:
Free download of the software
Compatible with Windows and MAC computer
Free demo account with demo money
Automatic search for binary signals
Once we access the member’s area, here are what is included:
Free binary option training
Step by step guide to the system
Professional traders/brokers
Pros:
The method of trading being simple is easy to understand
The beginners can learn through easily.
Rewards and risks go hand in hand.
Percentage profit will not be affected by any amendment in the market trends.
Cons:
Losses in the trade can cost you more than what you could have earned through winning
Bottom Line:
The $100K Club System is definitely not a scam. It’s a free training. You are the one to decide how much money you should put into forex. This is plain and simple. I’ve followed this training from past 1 week and have made over $2540 in profits. I only invested $500 when I started. I just can’t believe it is possible. I never thought about putting my money into forex because of the hesitation and risk of loosing money but now I’m relieved to see the profits I’m making.
.
==>Click here to Get The 100K Club For Free With Bonus<==
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submitted by clubreview to the100kclubs [link] [comments]

The Money Glitch Software Review - System by Selena Fairbrother Scam?

STOP! Don't Rush! Before Thinking of Download The Money Glitch Software, read My Honest and Unbiased Selena Fairbrother 's The Money Glitch System Review!
http://theinsiderjohn.com/money-glitch-system-review-unique-software-scam-honest-review/
The Money Glitch is simply a free training given by Selena Fairbrother, who may have made vast amounts of money trading in Forex and stock markets. The Money Glitch tells you howto trade in binary options easily with huge profits. This really is a new and advanced options trading system approach that will highlight how to bank $957 per day without having risk!
Selena Fairbrother has produced many products within the “Making Money” niche that have all helped people generate income. We all know he or she is greater than capable so I reserved a copy of The Money Glitch yesterday. I am pretty amazed with the first day outcomes of while using system.
The Money Glitch System Review - My Story
The ‘system’ itself is very easy, and straightforward for a newbie like myself. Basically we are going to be ‘betting’ on Forex (currencies) to either rise or fall, this is done every minute. So I bet you are thinking, well how do I know which currency to ‘bet’ on?
Well that’s easy. By the side of each currency, you see the what the market has ‘bet’ on as a percentage. These guys determine what they are doing, and are generally the real stock trading traders,big banks etc. As an example, let’s say we pick the US Dollar against the AUD (Australian Dollar)you will realize a share that might be something like 83% Rise 17% Drop - this is what everyone else thinks will happen next.
binary options can be a new and exciting type of investment, to purchase (call option) or sell (put option) a particular currency pair at a specified price (called the exercise price) at a certain date (expiration date). In order to get the underlying asset or sell it off, spend the money for upfront premium towards the option seller. And supports using this right or exercise of market conditions at that time the possibility expires. The options allow foreign currency trading the possibility of achieving profits with all the high price of the currency pair or fall.
The major benefit from trading binary options is that you may create a trade quickly and generate profits as fast as without a minute! Although binary options is definitely a profitable and effective ways to earn money through trading, there are very few people actually earn money from it! If you do it blindly, the main reason is many people do not know exactly the correct ways to trade binary options, and it is very dangerous! binary options possess some RISK from it,that is why it is actually so profitable. The Money Glitch System complete eliminate the risk through giving you FREE training and proven system to earn money from binary options.
Another great thing I like about The Money Glitch System is once you open a binary options account you don’t need to risk real money at first, you can actually trade on a demo account and master the system before you start to put in real money to generate profits. Sounds pretty cool, right? Well it is…
It can be completely risk-free as I've tried it myself.
You don’t must pay everything to download The Money Glitch Software. It is actually completely without charge when you click the link.
DOWNLOAD The Money Glitch System/Software Here For FREE
Install The Money Glitch System (works on Mac and Windows)
Start the software program and make up a free account
After you have finished registration, your software license will probably be activated for without charge.
The software then starts searching for binary options signals and may alert you if you find any profitable binary options signal. All you have to do then is open position in that particular trade and also the software will handle all of those other work.
Here’s what you will find within your Members Area:
Free binary options training given by Selena Fairbrother.
Explain to you exactly systematic strategies to trade in binary options easily for huge profits
Recommend you utilize their selected binary options brokers/traders as they are hugely experience and extremely familiar with the The Money Glitch System.
Financial Well Being:
The Money Glitch System is definitely a must have product if you want to make money from trading binary options. You should know that Fx Trading is actually a hugely profitable market in fact it is getting bigger and bigger. By using this The Money Glitch software and System, it save your time to quickly profit from trading.
The machine is actually FREE to you, all that you should do is click this link below, and plug in your business and email and press ‘Get Instant Access’ - overlook the sales video. The juicy info is on the next page where the actual technique is explained comprehensive. If I keep on explaining the features of this system, then chances are you will end up seeing “Closed Out” message on sales page. So, go, check it out right now without wasting another minute.
So, What are you waiting for? Go through the below connect to download the software...
-- Just Click Here to Download The Money Glitch Software free of charge Now --
submitted by binaryapp810 to binarymillionaire [link] [comments]

Your First Million Software - Legit or Scam

Your First Million Software Review By Giovani Leoni What’s Your First Million Software All About? Does Your First Million Software Really Work? Your First Million Software Review and Bonus
Is Giovani Leoni Your First Million Software Just Another Hyped Up Product? Find Out The Truth Your First Million Software Review Before You Buy!…
Quick description for Your First Million Software Product complete : Your First Million
Niche: Binary Options
Official website : Your First Million Official Website
Money-back Promise : Yes (2months)
Delivery amount : fast Delivery
Bonus offer : affirmative($300)
Download: Free
What is binary option and your million Software?
Binary options are one of the most lucrative methods for making money quickly on the internet. All that is required is a computer and an internet connection. With binary options, you can bet on rising or falling exchange rates and prices of indices, commodities and shares over a foreseeable time period.
In my view it's no different than other forms of trading and be very profitable in the event you know what you are doing.
Many of people wonder if it's possible to get money anything with binary options and think it might be all a scam. The truth is that lots of people around the globe have great success with binary options if using the right strategies and tools.
Now before systems like Your First Million you needed to learn everything from scratch. Either by attending seminars like the ones hosts or try to do it all by yourself. Which takes time and can't be over whelming in the event you don't know anything about how trading works.
I have done a huge research about this binary options tool, believe me, I just have to check all the info before I start any type of business. What I have found out is that this is incredible, binary options trading tool that has a really high performance. When I thought about getting 75% of profit without it taking too much time, I just knew I had to try it out, especially when it is free right now.
While it is nearly impossible for any binary options software to deliver a 100% success ratio, but Your First Million is proving itself to be the most resourceful among all other systems available right beside this one. The extensive bets testing which had been done before it was actually made public has finally paid off and has made it rise as the top most binary options trading software. It is highly recommendable software to people as with 80% accuracy they get to bring in close to 185% of their cost daily. The availability of a dedicated support team also plays a vital role in helping the users in case of any dubiety. All plus points combined in one sends a pretty positive message to everyone in need of a perfect binary options trading software.
::::::> DISCOVER THE SECRET OF YOUR FIRST MILLION !
Your First Million System Review
STOP!! – Make sure you check my in-depth Your First Million Review Before you get a copy of Your First Million Software.
why i use First Million Review?
Your First Million is a trading software developed specifically for binary options traders. This system can be used by any level of trader, whether new or experienced. This software was developed in the early 2014 as an answer to the many unsuccessful binary options alternatives. We felt it was very important to provide a software in this marketplace that can be trusted and used on a daily basis.
With over 300 active traders and countless positive reviews the Your First Million is the industry leader in binary signals. The software comes at a low price point and provides free upgrades for life, a dedicated support team, member training and free installation for those who need it.
Your First Million moving forward plans to be stable in this market for the immediate and long-term future. As long as we can provide a service and product that our customers utilize and trust we will be here to do so.
The goal of the Your First Million software is to provide traders with additional income without hassle. In our experience we found that too many systems in the binary market have grand claims. We do not. The goals of this software are to provide winning days, winning months and winning years one trade at a time. As cliché as it sounds, our main focus is winning and staying ahead of the market conditions.
The Your First Million developers are always attentive to the needs of the customers and the support team play a major role in the direction of the software because they understand the direction that the customers want us to go.
>>> CLICK HERE TO ACCESS TO CLICK FUNNELS FREE!
Why you chose Your First Million?
This powerful software successfully predicts winning binary options trades within a 70-95% rate of probability. Depending on current market conditions the software will print on your chart the probability of winning the trade & tell you when to call or put.
The system trades both daily & hourly charts, providing entry signals that can be used for full day options, 15 minute, 30 minute and hourly options.
The first binary options system that monitors the market & adapts to the current conditions. Efficiency of this revolutionary product.
>>> CLICK HERE TO ACCESS TO CLICK FUNNELS FREE!
How does Your First Million Software work?
Your First Million System is the english version of Option Rally and is a semi-automated trade program for binary options. It analyses 11 indicators and initiates a trade that only needs to be confirmed by the user. This rules out errors and frustrating days in front of the computer. A few clicks is all it takes.
1) Download
You can download the software free and without obligation from the official website at www.yourfirstmillion.com!
You can test Your First Million Systemwith $500 Demo money WITHOUT depositing money and convince yourself of power of Your First Million System!
Once the trial period expires, you can choose to purchase the full version. The price is set by trade volume and starts at $297 to $2397 per month.
2) Installation and activation
The installation process is self-explanatory and only takes a few minutes. The trade account with Vault Options Finance is equally created in just a few steps.
For a proper trial, I would recommend loading the Options Maker Finance trading account with at least 200, – $ or more. Depositing funds is secure and smooth, whether you use your credit card, a bank transfer or any other popular payment method.
3) Use
Once you have deposited funds, your software is ready to use immediately. As soon as you receive a signal, simply confirm the trade.
>>> DISCOVER THE SECRET OF YOUR FIRST MILLION !
What We Like Best With The Platform:
*Free download of the software *Compatible with Windows and MAC computer *Free demo account with demo money *Automatic search for binary signals *Once we access the member’s area, here are what is included: *Free binary option training *Step by step guide to the system *Professional traders/brokers
Pros:
*The method of trading being simple is easy to understand *The beginners can learn through easily. *Rewards and risks go hand in hand. *Percentage profit will not be affected by any amendment in the market trends.
Cons:
Losses in the trade can cost you more than what you could have earned through winning www.yourfirstmillion.com!
submitted by johngai to fmillion [link] [comments]

//\\Genuine System Software Auto Options Bot Review-is-Auto Options Bot Reviews Scam?

//\Genuine System Software Auto Options Bot Review-is-Auto Options Bot Reviews Scam?
http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
Auto Option Bot.Auto Option Bot Review.Auto Option Bot Reviews.Auto Option Bot Review software.Auto Option Bot Review System.Auto Option Bot Review Scam.
Auto Option Bot Review Work? Or Is It Just Another Hyped Up Product? Find Out The Truth About Auto Option Bot Software Before You Buy! Before you buy Gary Davis Auto Option Bot, Read Auto Option Bot Review - find out if it stands up to the hype! Is it Legit or Scam? Software. Welcome to my page dedicated to the Auto Options Bot.
Official Website: Click Here to Visit Official Page = http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
Official Website: Click Here to Visit Official Page = =http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
What are binary options? - Auto Option Bot
Binary options are one of the most lucrative methods for making money quickly on the internet. All that is required is a computer and an internet connection. With binary options, you can bet on rising or falling exchange rates and prices of indices, commodities and shares over a foreseeable time period.
This means that binary options can only produce one of two scenarios. If the pre-defined event takes place, the buyer receives a fixed amount. Otherwise, the option expires and therefore worthless. The benefit in this form of trade is the high profits coupled with manageable losses. Even small market movements can produce interesting capital yields. Further, profits can be realised in a very short time frame, given that the expiry period of the option is usually set at only a few days or even hours.
To quickly increase your money, only a knowledge of the direction of the movement of the investment before its expiry is needed. And that is exactly, where this new “super weapon” comes in…
How does Auto Option Bot Software work?
Auto Option Bot System is the English version of Option Rally and is a semi-automated trade program for binary options. It analyses 11 indicators and initiates a trade that only needs to be confirmed by the user. This rules out errors and frustrating days in front of the computer. A few clicks is all it takes.
1) Download
You can download the software free and without obligation from the official website at You can test Auto Option Bot System with $500 Demo money WITHOUT depositing money and convince yourself of power of Auto Option Bot System! Once the trial period expires, you can choose to purchase the full version. The price is set by trade volume and starts at $297 to $2397 per month. 2) Installation and activation
The installation process is self-explanatory and only takes a few minutes. The trade account with Vault Options Finance is equally created in just a few steps. For a proper trial, I would recommend loading the Options Maker Finance trading account with at least 200, – $ or more. Depositing funds is secure and smooth, whether you use your credit card, a bank transfer or any other popular payment method. 3) Use
Once you have deposited funds, your software is ready to use immediately. As soon as you receive a signal, simply confirm the trade. 1 click – that’s it! I was really impressed with the ease of use. All procedures are explained in detail and foolproof. I set up my first trade at dusk and realized a substantial profit on my first day. What We Like Best With The Platform:
Free download of the software Compatible with Windows and MAC computer Free demo account with demo money Automatic search for binary signals Once we access the member’s area, here are what is included: Free binary option training Step by step guide to the system Professional traders/brokers
Official Website: Click Here to Visit Official Page = http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
Official Website: Click Here to Visit Official Page = http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
Pros:
The method of trading being simple is easy to understand The beginners can learn through easily. Rewards and risks go hand in hand. Percentage profit will not be affected by any amendment in the market trends.
Cons:
Losses in the trade can cost you more than what you could have earned through winning
Bottom Line:
Auto Option Bot System is definitely not a scam. It’s a free training. You are the one to decide how much money you should put into forex. This is plain and simple. I’ve followed this training from past 1 week and have made over $2540 in profits. I only invested $500 when I started. I just can’t believe it is possible. I never thought about putting my money into forex because of the hesitation and risk of losing money but now I’m relieved to see the profits I’m making.
submitted by babuson to AutoOptionsBot [link] [comments]

//Download\\ "Auto Options Bot Review" Software-is-"Auto Options Bot" Reviews System Make money!!!

//Download\ "Auto Options Bot Review" Software-is-"Auto Options Bot" Reviews System Make money!!!
==>> Click Here To Access The Official Website <==
http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
Auto Option Bot.Auto Option Bot Review.Auto Option Bot Reviews.Auto Option Bot Review software.Auto Option Bot Review System.Auto Option Bot Review Scam.
Auto Option Bot Review Work? Or Is It Just Another Hyped Up Product? Find Out The Truth About Auto Option Bot Software Before You Buy! Before you buy Gary Davis Auto Option Bot, Read Auto Option Bot Review - find out if it stands up to the hype! Is it Legit or Scam? Software. Welcome to my page dedicated to the Auto Options Bot.
==>> Click Here To Access The Official Website <== http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
What are binary options? - Auto Option Bot
Binary options are one of the most lucrative methods for making money quickly on the internet. All that is required is a computer and an internet connection. With binary options, you can bet on rising or falling exchange rates and prices of indices, commodities and shares over a foreseeable time period.
This means that binary options can only produce one of two scenarios. If the pre-defined event takes place, the buyer receives a fixed amount. Otherwise, the option expires and therefore worthless. The benefit in this form of trade is the high profits coupled with manageable losses. Even small market movements can produce interesting capital yields. Further, profits can be realised in a very short time frame, given that the expiry period of the option is usually set at only a few days or even hours.
To quickly increase your money, only a knowledge of the direction of the movement of the investment before its expiry is needed. And that is exactly, where this new “super weapon” comes in…
How does Auto Option Bot Software work?
Auto Option Bot System is the English version of Option Rally and is a semi-automated trade program for binary options. It analyses 11 indicators and initiates a trade that only needs to be confirmed by the user. This rules out errors and frustrating days in front of the computer. A few clicks is all it takes.
1) Download
You can download the software free and without obligation from the official website at => http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
You can test Auto Option Bot System with $500 Demo money WITHOUT depositing money and convince yourself of power of Auto Option Bot System! Once the trial period expires, you can choose to purchase the full version. The price is set by trade volume and starts at $297 to $2397 per month. 2) Installation and activation
The installation process is self-explanatory and only takes a few minutes. The trade account with Vault Options Finance is equally created in just a few steps. For a proper trial, I would recommend loading the Options Maker Finance trading account with at least 200, – $ or more. Depositing funds is secure and smooth, whether you use your credit card, a bank transfer or any other popular payment method. 3) Use
Once you have deposited funds, your software is ready to use immediately. As soon as you receive a signal, simply confirm the trade. 1 click – that’s it! I was really impressed with the ease of use. All procedures are explained in detail and foolproof. I set up my first trade at dusk and realized a substantial profit on my first day.
==>> Click Here To Access The Official Website <==
http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
What We Like Best With The Platform:
Free download of the software Compatible with Windows and MAC computer Free demo account with demo money Automatic search for binary signals Once we access the member’s area, here are what is included: Free binary option training Step by step guide to the system Professional traders/brokers
Pros:
The method of trading being simple is easy to understand The beginners can learn through easily. Rewards and risks go hand in hand. Percentage profit will not be affected by any amendment in the market trends.
Cons:
Losses in the trade can cost you more than what you could have earned through winning
Bottom Line:
Auto Option Bot System is definitely not a scam. It’s a free training. You are the one to decide how much money you should put into forex. This is plain and simple. I’ve followed this training from past 1 week and have made over $2540 in profits. I only invested $500 when I started. I just can’t believe it is possible. I never thought about putting my money into forex because of the hesitation and risk of losing money but now I’m relieved to see the profits I’m making.
==>> Click Here To Access The Official Website <==
http://tinyurl.com/lmxo58a
submitted by babuson to AutoOptionsBot [link] [comments]

Legal Insider Bot Review - My Result Using Legal Insider Bot-The Truth Revealed

Legal Insider Bot Review:
Welcome to my Legal Insider Bot Review. You’re landing in this page proof that you are searching Legal Insider Bot review. I was in the same situation where you are at now. I also tried to find some real review before I download the software. But unfortunately I didn't find any review that could helped me on that time. That’s why I decide to write an in-depth Legal Insider Bot review to help you out. So let’s start…
Legal Insider Bot Review - What is Legal Insider Bot All About?
Legal Insider Bot is a binary options trading software. It just launched some days ago and it seems one of the best binary options trading software out there in the market. If you don’t have good idea about what binary options trading is then I suggest you to read this post to know about binary options trading. Legal Insider Bot is created by Greg Marks to help other trader who want to trade binary options as well.
The best thing about Legal Insider Bot is you can make safe trade with it and can increase your gain rate higher than before.
Legal Insider Bot Review:
I hope you already know what binary options trading. In binary options trading you have to have wining trade in order to make profit. Legal Insider Bot is software that designed to help you to find out the wining signals and make profit. The software is getting almost 90% accuracy rate and its really cool enough. Let’s calculate it. If you lose 10% of your trade and win 90% then what you are going to have? You still make profit with it and it’s guaranteed. Some question should be in your mind now... How does the software provide almost 90% winning trade? And believe me this is a good question if it is on your mind. I also had the same question and I started researched online to find out the answer and I did find it. Legal Insider Bot will research the market and find out the wining trade for you. So you will make profit using the software.
The "software" itself is exceptionally straightforward and straightforward actually for an amateur like me. Basically we will be "wagering" on Forex (monetary forms) to either climb or fall, this is carried out consistently. So I wager you are considering, admirably how would I know which coin to "wager" on?
Well that is simple. By the side of every cash, you see the business has "wagered" on as a rate. These fellows realize what they are doing, and they are the genuine stock exchange traders, big banks and so forth. Case in point, we should say we pick the US Dollar against the AUD (Australian Dollar) you will see a rate that will be something like 90% Rise 10% Drop – this is the thing that other people thinks will happen next.
The best thing of binary optinons trading is you will be able to make money within a minute. Although binary options is the effective way to make money. But not too many people are using this way to make money and the only reason behind this is they don’t know how to do all the things properly. It’s very risky if you start doing this blindly.
Legal Insider Bot Review - How Legal Insider Bot Works?
Legal Insider Bot normally research the market and find the wining trade. When it got a wining trade then it will automatically show you the put button that is green button mainly and the other hand if the software finds a market where the price will goes down then it will show red button to you. It’s really simple to use and fully user friendly.
Here is what you will get inside Legal Insider Bot:
Completely free binary options training given. Show you exactly systematic ways to trade in binary options easily for huge profits Recommend you use their selected binary option brokers/traders as they are hugely experience and very familiar with the Online Wealth Plan System.
Why Use Legal Insider Bot?
Legal Insider Bot is another, computerized trading administration that shows to traders the best expectations for their investment. It has a few points of interest, highlighted by the accompanying:
That’s it! Once you put the money on your account you will be fully ready and get access to start trading. It’s simple, isn’t it?
Bottom Line:
As I am using the software and already getting some good result so I will recommend the software for you guys. If you are realy commited to make some good money with binary options trading then you will be needing a signal software and Legal Insider Bot is the best binary options trading software out there in the current market. So What are you waiting for go and get the software NOW!
Legal Insider Bot Review, Legal Insider Bot, Legal Insider Bot Scam
submitted by olaol-uk to legalinsiderBOTr [link] [comments]

Online Wealth Plan Review - Does Online Wealth Plan Really Work?

Online Wealth Plan Review
Online Wealth Plan is a latest binary options trading software out there in the market. I have already got my copy and today I will write Online Wealth Plan review and what I get inside. So read my honest Online Wealth Plan review and know what Online Wealth Plan all about.
Online Wealth Plan Review - What is Online Wealth Plan?
Online Wealth Plan is an auxiliary trading tool,, known as a mechanized trading robot, or most generally, a "bot". This is a product that breaks down information from stock market and improves the trading knowledge for double options traders. Online Wealth Plan is free trading software.
The best part of Online Wealth Plan is that it expands the exactness level of your expectations and allows you to trade more volume with a higher achievement rate.
Is Online Wealth Plan Legit?
To utilize Online Wealth Plan, you must open a trading record with a binary options broker. Online Wealth Plan is an free p that is continuously dispatched now, in mid-2014, and until it makes its database of customers, this monetary tool is accessible free of charge. It is exceptionally doubtful that this circumstance will stay as and accordingly it is firmly proposed to sign-in now, and profit from this preference while there is no charge. The way that Online Wealth Plan is not specifically dependent on any specific binary broker gives it a huge advantage, because the Online Wealth Plan designers pick which organizations can utilize its innovation. For this reason they have set elevated expectations for any facilitate that wishes to offer this magnificent profit to its traders.
Binary options trading scams exist, and the Navigator programming makes sure to distance itself of such rumors, by permitting clients to pick just between a select groups of trustworthy brokers. The best affirmation that Online Wealth Plan is a legit device that is just adjusts to the stages of expert and authorized binary options broker.
==> Check Out The Online Wealth Plan Official Website <==
Online Wealth Plan Review - Why Use Online Wealth Plan?
Online Wealth Plan is another, computerized trading administration that shows to traders the best expectations for their investment. It has a few points of interest, highlighted by the accompanying: Simplifies the trading process
Just works through secure and controls binary brokers
Helps you expand the correctness of trades
Investors keep up full control of trading session
This product can transform your trading knowledge into a speedier, more beneficial, more secure and controlled experience. The initial move towards utilizing this brilliant tool is registration process. This is an exceptionally enrollment procedure, the Online Wealth Plan will propose a binary options representative through which you can execute traders.
Every month or so, a new broker tops the suggestion list. Obviously, without a trading record, you can't trade. Along these lines a piece of the enrollment will take you through opening a record and making your first deposit.
Online Wealth Plan Review - Trading with Online Wealth Plan
Trading binary options with Online Wealth Plan is simple because it permits you to follow the software even if you have very little or no experience in trading.
You just have to follow these to make profit:
Select the trade
Choosing an investment amount
Now follow what Online Wealth Plan suggest
Inside minutes, the trade expires and the results are characterized. Binary options can either expire in-the-cash or out-of-the-cash. If you can accomplish a bigger measure of right forecasts, you can revel in huge benefits.
The Online Wealth Plan is to a great degree simple to utilize, because it is incorporated with your trading stage, and in this manner all it requires from you is to pick your trades. The product makes an indicator by highlighting every present potential trade with either the Green color (signals that it is prescribing a "Call" alternative) or in Red (a signal to choose a “Put” binary option).
Once we access the member’s area, here are what is included:
Free binary option training
Step by step guide to the system
Professional traders/brokers
Advantages:
Highly profitable software. It has been verified that 91% of its days have been profitable.
It has been voted as one of the best desktop binary options software over the internet.
It is quick money where in you can earn substantially by putting in just 20-25 minutes of your day.
It is automatic and very easy to use software. You just have to go ahead and click on the icon and boom! It starts making money for you.
It boasts of a brilliant customer support that is always happy to help. They work 7 days a week from 8AM to 10PM EST.
Disadvantages:
While you can trade a lot in a day with 6Online Wealth Plan and potentially make a lot of money, you could also lose a lot. “Over-trading” is common among new traders who want to try to catch every market move, but these aren't likely high probability trades to win. Good set-ups often take time to develop, and therefore by using 60 second binary options you may be distracted by mediocre or poor trade set-ups, missing the good ones.
Bottom Line:
By emulating these trading indicators, traders can expand generously their benefit levels. Since binary options payouts are amazingly high, even a slight change can decipher into huge measures of cash. When you figure out how to utilize the Online Wealth Plan reliably, you can generate an additional monthly income. So, what are you waiting for? Go and get your copy now and start making money.
==> Click here to Download Online Wealth Plan Software Free With Bonus <==
Online Wealth Plan Review, Online Wealth Plan
submitted by solamt-us to wealthplanr [link] [comments]

Online Wealth Plan Review-My First Result Using Online Wealth Plan

Online Wealth Plan Review
Online Wealth Plan is a latest binary options trading software out there in the market. I have already got my copy and today I will write Online Wealth Plan review and what I get inside. So read my honest Online Wealth Plan review and know what Online Wealth Plan all about.
Online Wealth Plan Review - What is Online Wealth Plan?
Online Wealth Plan is an auxiliary trading tool,, known as a mechanized trading robot, or most generally, a "bot". This is a product that breaks down information from stock market and improves the trading knowledge for double options traders. Online Wealth Plan is free trading software.
The best part of Online Wealth Plan is that it expands the exactness level of your expectations and allows you to trade more volume with a higher achievement rate.
Is Online Wealth Plan Legit?
To utilize Online Wealth Plan, you must open a trading record with a binary options broker. Online Wealth Plan is an free p that is continuously dispatched now, in mid-2014, and until it makes its database of customers, this monetary tool is accessible free of charge. It is exceptionally doubtful that this circumstance will stay as and accordingly it is firmly proposed to sign-in now, and profit from this preference while there is no charge. The way that Online Wealth Plan is not specifically dependent on any specific binary broker gives it a huge advantage, because the Online Wealth Plan designers pick which organizations can utilize its innovation. For this reason they have set elevated expectations for any facilitate that wishes to offer this magnificent profit to its traders.
Binary options trading scams exist, and the Navigator programming makes sure to distance itself of such rumors, by permitting clients to pick just between a select groups of trustworthy brokers. The best affirmation that Online Wealth Plan is a legit device that is just adjusts to the stages of expert and authorized binary options broker.
==> Check Out The Online Wealth Plan Official Website <==
Online Wealth Plan Review - Why Use Online Wealth Plan?
Online Wealth Plan is another, computerized trading administration that shows to traders the best expectations for their investment. It has a few points of interest, highlighted by the accompanying: Simplifies the trading process Just works through secure and controls binary brokers Helps you expand the correctness of trades Investors keep up full control of trading session This product can transform your trading knowledge into a speedier, more beneficial, more secure and controlled experience. The initial move towards utilizing this brilliant tool is registration process. This is an exceptionally enrollment procedure, the Online Wealth Plan will propose a binary options representative through which you can execute traders. Every month or so, a new broker tops the suggestion list. Obviously, without a trading record, you can't trade. Along these lines a piece of the enrollment will take you through opening a record and making your first deposit. Online Wealth Plan Review - Trading with Online Wealth Plan Trading binary options with Online Wealth Plan is simple because it permits you to follow the software even if you have very little or no experience in trading.
You just have to follow these to make profit: Select the trade
Choosing an investment amount Now follow what Online Wealth Plan suggest Inside minutes, the trade expires and the results are characterized. Binary options can either expire in-the-cash or out-of-the-cash. If you can accomplish a bigger measure of right forecasts, you can revel in huge benefits. The Online Wealth Plan is to a great degree simple to utilize, because it is incorporated with your trading stage, and in this manner all it requires from you is to pick your trades. The product makes an indicator by highlighting every present potential trade with either the Green color (signals that it is prescribing a "Call" alternative) or in Red (a signal to choose a “Put” binary option). Once we access the member’s area, here are what is included: Free binary option training Step by step guide to the system Professional traders/brokers Advantages: Highly profitable software. It has been verified that 91% of its days have been profitable. It has been voted as one of the best desktop binary options software over the internet. It is quick money where in you can earn substantially by putting in just 20-25 minutes of your day. It is automatic and very easy to use software. You just have to go ahead and click on the icon and boom! It starts making money for you. It boasts of a brilliant customer support that is always happy to help. They work 7 days a week from 8AM to 10PM EST. Disadvantages: While you can trade a lot in a day with 6Online Wealth Plan and potentially make a lot of money, you could also lose a lot. “Over-trading” is common among new traders who want to try to catch every market move, but these aren't likely high probability trades to win. Good set-ups often take time to develop, and therefore by using 60 second binary options you may be distracted by mediocre or poor trade set-ups, missing the good ones. Bottom Line: By emulating these trading indicators, traders can expand generously their benefit levels. Since binary options payouts are amazingly high, even a slight change can decipher into huge measures of cash. When you figure out how to utilize the Online Wealth Plan reliably, you can generate an additional monthly income. So, what are you waiting for? Go and get your copy now and start making money. ==> Click here to Download Online Wealth Plan Software Free With Bonus <== Online Wealth Plan Review, Online Wealth Plan
submitted by santanu-nz to weltonprs [link] [comments]

No gods, no kings, only NOPE - or divining the future with options flows. [Part 2: A Random Walk and Price Decoherence]

tl;dr -
1) Stock prices move continuously because different market participants end up having different ideas of the future value of a stock.
2) This difference in valuations is part of the reason we have volatility.
3) IV crush happens as a consequence of future possibilities being extinguished at a binary catalyst like earnings very rapidly, as opposed to the normal slow way.
I promise I'm getting to the good parts, but I'm also writing these as a guidebook which I can use later so people never have to talk to me again.
In this part I'm going to start veering a bit into the speculation territory (e.g. ideas I believe or have investigated, but aren't necessary well known) but I'm going to make sure those sections are properly marked as speculative (and you can feel free to ignore/dismiss them). Marked as [Lily's Speculation].
As some commenters have pointed out in prior posts, I do not have formal training in mathematical finance/finance (my background is computer science, discrete math, and biology), so often times I may use terms that I've invented which have analogous/existing terms (e.g. the law of surprise is actually the first law of asset pricing applied to derivatives under risk neutral measure, but I didn't know that until I read the papers later). If I mention something wrong, please do feel free to either PM me (not chat) or post a comment, and we can discuss/I can correct it! As always, buyer beware.
This is the first section also where you do need to be familiar with the topics I've previously discussed, which I'll add links to shortly (my previous posts:
1) https://www.reddit.com/thecorporation/comments/jck2q6/no_gods_no_kings_only_nope_or_divining_the_future/
2) https://www.reddit.com/thecorporation/comments/jbzzq4/why_options_trading_sucks_or_the_law_of_surprise/
---
A Random Walk Down Bankruptcy
A lot of us have probably seen the term random walk, maybe in the context of A Random Walk Down Wall Street, which seems like a great book I'll add to my list of things to read once I figure out how to control my ADD. It seems obvious, then, what a random walk means - when something is moving, it basically means that the next move is random. So if my stock price is $1 and I can move in $0.01 increments, if the stock price is truly randomly walking, there should be roughly a 50% chance it moves up in the next second (to $1.01) or down (to $0.99).
If you've traded for more than a hot minute, this concept should seem obvious, because especially on the intraday, it usually isn't clear why price moves the way it does (despite what chartists want to believe, and I'm sure a ton of people in the comments will tell me why fettucini lines and Batman doji tell them things). For a simple example, we can look at SPY's chart from Friday, Oct 16, 2020:

https://preview.redd.it/jgg3kup9dpt51.png?width=1368&format=png&auto=webp&s=bf8e08402ccef20832c96203126b60c23277ccc2
I'm sure again 7 different people can tell me 7 different things about why the chart shape looks the way it does, or how if I delve deeply enough into it I can find out which man I'm going to marry in 2024, but to a rationalist it isn't exactly apparent at why SPY's price declined from 349 to ~348.5 at around 12:30 PM, or why it picked up until about 3 PM and then went into precipitous decline (although I do have theories why it declined EOD, but that's for another post).
An extremely clever or bored reader from my previous posts could say, "Is this the price formation you mentioned in the law of surprise post?" and the answer is yes. If we relate it back to the individual buyer or seller, we can explain the concept of a stock price's random walk as such:
Most market participants have an idea of an asset's true value (an idealized concept of what an asset is actually worth), which they can derive using models or possibly enough brain damage. However, an asset's value at any given time is not worth one value (usually*), but a spectrum of possible values, usually representing what the asset should be worth in the future. A naive way we can represent this without delving into to much math (because let's face it, most of us fucking hate math) is:
Current value of an asset = sum over all (future possible value multiplied by the likelihood of that value)
In actuality, most models aren't that simple, but it does generalize to a ton of more complicated models which you need more than 7th grade math to understand (Black-Scholes, DCF, blah blah blah).
While in many cases the first term - future possible value - is well defined (Tesla is worth exactly $420.69 billion in 2021, and maybe we all can agree on that by looking at car sales and Musk tweets), where it gets more interesting is the second term - the likelihood of that value occurring. [In actuality, the price of a stock for instance is way more complicated, because a stock can be sold at any point in the future (versus in my example, just the value in 2021), and needs to account for all values of Tesla at any given point in the future.]
How do we estimate the second term - the likelihood of that value occurring? For this class, it actually doesn't matter, because the key concept is this idea: even with all market participants having the same information, we do anticipate that every participant will have a slightly different view of future likelihoods. Why is that? There's many reasons. Some participants may undervalue risk (aka WSB FD/yolos) and therefore weight probabilities of gaining lots of money much more heavily than going bankrupt. Some participants may have alternative data which improves their understanding of what the future values should be, therefore letting them see opportunity. Some participants might overvalue liquidity, and just want to GTFO and thereby accept a haircut on their asset's value to quickly unload it (especially in markets with low liquidity). Some participants may just be yoloing and not even know what Fastly does before putting their account all in weekly puts (god bless you).
In the end, it doesn't matter either the why, but the what: because of these diverging interpretations, over time, we can expect the price of an asset to drift from the current value even with no new information added. In most cases, the calculations that market participants use (which I will, as a Lily-ism, call the future expected payoff function, or FEPF) ends up being quite similar in aggregate, and this is why asset prices likely tend to move slightly up and down for no reason (or rather, this is one interpretation of why).
At this point, I expect the 20% of you who know what I'm talking about or have a finance background to say, "Oh but blah blah efficient market hypothesis contradicts random walk blah blah blah" and you're correct, but it also legitimately doesn't matter here. In the long run, stock prices are clearly not a random walk, because a stock's value is obviously tied to the company's fundamentals (knock on wood I don't regret saying this in the 2020s). However, intraday, in the absence of new, public information, it becomes a close enough approximation.
Also, some of you might wonder what happens when the future expected payoff function (FEPF) I mentioned before ends up wildly diverging for a stock between participants. This could happen because all of us try to short Nikola because it's quite obviously a joke (so our FEPF for Nikola could, let's say, be 0), while the 20 or so remaining bagholders at NikolaCorporation decide that their FEPF of Nikola is $10,000,000 a share). One of the interesting things which intuitively makes sense, is for nearly all stocks, the amount of divergence among market participants in their FEPF increases substantially as you get farther into the future.
This intuitively makes sense, even if you've already quit trying to understand what I'm saying. It's quite easy to say, if at 12:51 PM SPY is worth 350.21 that likely at 12:52 PM SPY will be worth 350.10 or 350.30 in all likelihood. Obviously there are cases this doesn't hold, but more likely than not, prices tend to follow each other, and don't gap up/down hard intraday. However, what if I asked you - given SPY is worth 350.21 at 12:51 PM today, what will it be worth in 2022?
Many people will then try to half ass some DD about interest rates and Trump fleeing to Ecuador to value SPY at 150, while others will assume bull markets will continue indefinitely and SPY will obviously be 7000 by then. The truth is -- no one actually knows, because if you did, you wouldn't be reading a reddit post on this at 2 AM in your jammies.
In fact, if you could somehow figure out the FEPF of all market participants at any given time, assuming no new information occurs, you should be able to roughly predict the true value of an asset infinitely far into the future (hint: this doesn't exactly hold, but again don't @ me).
Now if you do have a finance background, I expect gears will have clicked for some of you, and you may see strong analogies between the FEPF divergence I mentioned, and a concept we're all at least partially familiar with - volatility.
Volatility and Price Decoherence ("IV Crush")
Volatility, just like the Greeks, isn't exactly a real thing. Most of us have some familiarity with implied volatility on options, mostly when we get IV crushed the first time and realize we just lost $3000 on Tesla calls.
If we assume that the current price should represent the weighted likelihoods of all future prices (the random walk), volatility implies the following two things:
  1. Volatility reflects the uncertainty of the current price
  2. Volatility reflects the uncertainty of the future price for every point in the future where the asset has value (up to expiry for options)
[Ignore this section if you aren't pedantic] There's obviously more complex mathematics, because I'm sure some of you will argue in the comments that IV doesn't go up monotonically as option expiry date goes longer and longer into the future, and you're correct (this is because asset pricing reflects drift rate and other factors, as well as certain assets like the VIX end up having cost of carry).
Volatility in options is interesting as well, because in actuality, it isn't something that can be exactly computed -- it arises as a plug between the idealized value of an option (the modeled price) and the real, market value of an option (the spot price). Additionally, because the makeup of market participants in an asset's market changes over time, and new information also comes in (thereby increasing likelihood of some possibilities and reducing it for others), volatility does not remain constant over time, either.
Conceptually, volatility also is pretty easy to understand. But what about our friend, IV crush? I'm sure some of you have bought options to play events, the most common one being earnings reports, which happen quarterly for every company due to regulations. For the more savvy, you might know of expected move, which is a calculation that uses the volatility (and therefore price) increase of at-the-money options about a month out to calculate how much the options market forecasts the underlying stock price to move as a response to ER.
Binary Catalyst Events and Price Decoherence
Remember what I said about price formation being a gradual, continuous process? In the face of special circumstances, in particularly binary catalyst events - events where the outcome is one of two choices, good (1) or bad (0) - the gradual part gets thrown out the window. Earnings in particular is a common and notable case of a binary event, because the price will go down (assuming the company did not meet the market's expectations) or up (assuming the company exceeded the market's expectations) (it will rarely stay flat, so I'm not going to address that case).
Earnings especially is interesting, because unlike other catalytic events, they're pre-scheduled (so the whole market expects them at a certain date/time) and usually have publicly released pre-estimations (guidance, analyst predictions). This separates them from other binary catalysts (e.g. FSLY dipping 30% on guidance update) because the market has ample time to anticipate the event, and participants therefore have time to speculate and hedge on the event.
In most binary catalyst events, we see rapid fluctuations in price, usually called a gap up or gap down, which is caused by participants rapidly intaking new information and changing their FEPF accordingly. This is for the most part an anticipated adjustment to the FEPF based on the expectation that earnings is a Very Big Deal (TM), and is the reason why volatility and therefore option premiums increase so dramatically before earnings.
What makes earnings so interesting in particular is the dramatic effect it can have on all market participants FEPF, as opposed to let's say a Trump tweet, or more people dying of coronavirus. In lots of cases, especially the FEPF of the short term (3-6 months) rapidly changes in response to updated guidance about a company, causing large portions of the future possibility spectrum to rapidly and spectacularly go to zero. In an instant, your Tesla 10/30 800Cs go from "some value" to "not worth the electrons they're printed on".
[Lily's Speculation] This phenomena, I like to call price decoherence, mostly as an analogy to quantum mechanical processes which produce similar results (the collapse of a wavefunction on observation). Price decoherence occurs at a widespread but minor scale continuously, which we normally call price formation (and explains portions of the random walk derivation explained above), but hits a special limit in the face of binary catalyst events, as in an instant rapid portions of the future expected payoff function are extinguished, versus a more gradual process which occurs over time (as an option nears expiration).
Price decoherence, mathematically, ends up being a more generalizable case of the phenomenon we all love to hate - IV crush. Price decoherence during earnings collapses the future expected payoff function of a ticker, leading large portions of the option chain to be effectively worthless (IV crush). It has interesting implications, especially in the case of hedged option sellers, our dear Market Makers. This is because given the expectation that they maintain delta-gamma neutral, and now many of the options they have written are now worthless and have 0 delta, what do they now have to do?
They have to unwind.
[/Lily's Speculation]
- Lily
submitted by the_lilypad to thecorporation [link] [comments]

Over-Optimizing for Performance

Recently on the csharp subreddit, the post C# 9.0 records: immutable classes linked to a surprisingly controversial article discussing how C# 9.0's records are, underneath it all, immutable classes. The comments are full of back-&-forth over whether one should use records for ease or structs for performance. The pro-struct argument revolved around the belief that performance should always be a developer's #1 priority, and anything less was the realm of the laggard.
Here is a real-world example that shows with stark clarity why that kind of thinking is wrong.
Consider the following scenario:

1

You're working on a game with dozens, maybe hundreds of people on the team; you don't know because when you were cross with facilities about them removing all the fluorescents, you got accused of being against the new energy saving initiative. Now you swim in a malevolent ocean of darkness that on some very late nights alone in the office, you swear is actively trying to consume you.
 

2

The team that preceded you inherited an engine that is older than OOP, when source repositories were stacks of 8-inch floppies, and it looked as if Jefferson Starship was going to take over the world. One year ago they bequeathed upon the company this nightmare of broken, undocumented GOTO spaghetti & anti-patterns. You're convinced this was their sadistic revenge for all getting fired post-acquisition.
 

3

Management denied your request to get headcount for an additional technical artist, but helpfully supplied you with an overly nervous intern. After several weeks working alongside them, you're beginning to suspect they're pursuing something other than a liberal arts degree.
 

4

Despite the many getting started guides you spent countless evenings writing, the endless brownbags nobody attended, and the daily dozen emails you forward to oppressively inquisitive artists comprised of a single passive-aggressive sentence suggesting they scroll down to the part that begins FW: FW: FW: FW: FW: FW: RE: WE BROKE TOOL NEED WORKAROUND ASAP ...
 
...yes, despite all of that, the engineering team still spent days tracking down why the game kept crashing with Error 107221: У вас ошибка after re-re-re-re-re-throwing an ex_exception when it couldn't (and should never even try to) load a 16K-textured floor mat.
 

5

Despite your many attempts to politely excuse yourself, one blissfully unaware artist exhausts 48 minutes of your lunch break explaining how the Pitchfork review for the latest "dope slab" of this TikTok-Instagram-naphouse artist you never heard of was just sooooo unfair.
 
And then in their hurry to finish up & catch the 2:30 PM bus home, they forget to toggle Compress To CXIFF (Custom Extended Interchange File Format), set the Compression slider 5/6ths of the way between -3 & -2, look to their left, look to their right, click Export As .MA 0.9.3alpha7, and make absolutely, positively, 100% SURE not to be working in prod. And THAT is how the game explodicated.
 

6

You know better than anyone the intermediate file format the main game loop passes to Game.dll, memory mapping it as a reverse top-middle Endian binary structure.
 
You know for 381 of the parameter fields what their 2-7 character names probably mean.
 
YOU know which 147 fields always have to be included, but with a null value, and that the field ah_xlut must ALWAYS be set to 0 unless it's Thursday, in which case that blackbox from hell requires its internal string equivalent: TRUE.
 
YOU know that the two tech artists & one rapidly aging intern that report to you would totally overhaul tooling so artists would never "happen" again, but there just aren't enough winters, springs, summers, falls, July 4ths, Christmas breaks, Presidents Days, and wedding anniversaries in a year to properly do so.
 

7

If you could just find the time between morning standups, after lunch standups, watersprint post-mortems, Milbert's daily wasting of an hour at your desk trying to convince you engineering should just rebuild the engine from the ground up in JavaScript & React, & HR's mandatory EKG Monitor job satisfaction surveys, you might be able to get at least some desperately-needed tooling done.
 
And so somehow you do. A blurry evening or two here. A 3:00 AM there. Sometimes just a solitary lunch hour.
 
Your dog no longer recognizes you.
 
You miss your wife calling to say she's finally cleaning out the hall closet and if you want to keep this box of old cards & something in plastic that says Underground Sea Beta 9.8 Grade, you better call her back immediately.
 
And your Aunt Midge, who doesn't understand how SMS works, bombards you one evening:
your father is...
no longer with us...
they found him...
1 week ago...
in an abandoned Piggly Wiggly...
by an old culvert...
split up...
he was then...
laid down to rest...
sent to St. Peter's...
and your father...
he's in a better place now...
don't worry...
it's totally okay...
we decided we will all go...
up to the mountain
 
You call your sister in a panic and, after a tidal wave of confusion & soul-rending anxiety, learn it was just Hoboken Wireless sending the messages out of order. This causes you to rapidly cycle.
 

8

On your bipolar's upswing, you find yourself more productive than you've ever been. Your mind is aglow with whirling, transient nodes of thought careening through a cosmic vapor of invention. It's like your brain is on 200mg of pure grade Adderall.
 
Your fingers ablaze with records, clean inheritance, beautiful pattern matching, bountiful expression syntax, aircraft carriers of green text that generate the most outstanding CHM for an internal tool the world has ever seen. Readable. PERFECTLY SOLID.
 
After much effort, you gaze upon the completed GUI of your magnum opus with the kind of pride you imagine one would feel if they hadn't missed the birth of their son. Clean, customer-grade WPF; tooltips for every control; sanity checks left & right; support for plugins & light scripting. It's even integrated with source control!
 
THOSE GODDAMNED ARTISTS CAN'T FAIL. YOUR PIPELINE TOOL WON'T LET THEM.
 
All they have to do is drag content into the application window, select an options template or use the one your tool suggests after content analysis, change a few options, click Export, and wait for 3-5 minutes to generate Game.dll-compatible binary.
 
Your optimism shines through the commit summary, your test plan giddy & carefree. With great anticipation, you await code review.
 

9

A week goes by. Then two. Then three. Nothing. The repeated pinging of engineers, unanswered.
 
Two months in you've begun to lose hope. Three months, the pangs of defeat. Four months, you write a blog post about how fatalism isn't an emotion or outlook, but the TRANSCENDENCE of their sum. Two years pass by. You are become apathy, destroyer of wills.
 

10

December 23rd, 2022: the annual Winter Holidays 2-hour work event. The bar is open, the Kokanee & Schmidt's flowing (max: 2 drink tickets). The mood a year-high ambivalent; the social distancing: acceptable. They even have Pabst Blue Ribbon, a beer so good it won an award once.
 
Standing beside you are your direct reports, Dave "Macroman" Thorgletop and wide-eyed The Intern, the 3 of you forming a triumvirate of who gives a shit. Dave is droning on & on about a recent family trip to Myrtle Beach. You pick up something something "can you believe that's when my daughter Beth scooped up a dead jellyfish? Ain't that something? A dead jellyfish," and "they even had a Ron Jons!"
 
You barely hear him, lost as you are in thought: "I wish I had 2 days of vacation." You stare down ruefully at your tallboy.
 
From the corner of your eye you spot Milbert, index finger pointed upward, face a look of pure excitement.
 
"Did I tell you about my OpenWinamp project? It's up on SourceForge", he says as he strides over. It's unsettling how fast this man is.
 
"JAVASCRIPT IS JUST A SUBSET OF JAVA!" you yell behind you, tossing the words at him like a German potato masher as you power walk away. It does its job, stopping Milbert dead in his tracks.
 
Dave snickers. The Intern keeps staring wide-eyed. You position yourself somewhat close to the studio's 3 young receptionists, hoping they serve as a kind of ritual circle of protection.
 
It works... kind of. Milbert is now standing uncomfortably close to The Intern, Dave nowhere to be seen.
 
From across the room you distinctly hear "Think about it, the 1st-person UI could be Lua-driven Electron."
 
The Intern clearly understands that words are being spoken to them, but does not comprehend their meaning.
 
You briefly feel sorry for the sacrificial lamb.
 

11

You slide across the wall, putting even more distance between you & boredom made man. That's when you spot him, arrogantly aloof in the corner: Glen Glengerry. Core engineering's most senior developer.
 
Working his way up from a 16-year old game tester making $4.35 an hour plus free Dr. Shasta, to pulling in a cool $120K just 27-years later, plus benefits & Topo Chicos. His coding style guides catechism, his Slack pronouncements ex cathedra; he might as well be CTO.
 
You feel lucky your team is embedded with the artists. You may have sat through their meetings wondering why the hell you should care about color theory, artistic consistency, & debates about whether HSL or CMYK was the superior color space (spoiler: it's HSL), you were independent and to them, a fucking code wizard, man.
 
And there he stands, this pseudo-legend, so close you could throw a stapler at him. Thinning grey-blonde tendrils hanging down from his CodeWarrior hat, white tee with This Guy VIMs on the back, tucked into light blue jeans. He's staring out into the lobby at everything and yet... nothing all at.
 

12

Maybe it's the 4.8% ABV. Maybe it's the years of crushing down anger into a singularity, waiting for it to undergo rapid fiery expansion, a Big Bang of righteous fury. Maybe it's those sandals with white socks. Maybe it's all three. But whatever it is, it's as if God himself compels you to march over & give him a piece of your mind, seniority be damned.
 
"Listen, you big dumb bastard..."
 
That... is maybe a little too aggressive. But Glen Glengerry barely reacts. Pulling a flask out of his back pocket, he doesn't look over as he passes it to you.
 
Ugh. Apple Pucker.
 

13

"I thought bringing in your own alcohol was against company policy", wiping sticky green sludge from your lips. He turns with a look of pure disdain & snorts.
 
"You think they're going to tell ME what I can & can't bring in?" He grabs the flask back, taking a big swig.
 
For what feels like an eternity, you both stand in silence. You swallow, speaking softly. "None of you even looked at my code. I worked very, very hard on that. My performance review for that year simply read 'recommend performance improvement plan." The words need no further context.
 
"I know", Glen² replies. "That was me."
 

14

Now you're not a weak man, and maybe in some other circumstance you would have punched him in the goddamn lip. But you feel nothing, just a hollowness inside. "Why?", you ask, wondering if the answer would even matter.
 
"Because you don't use Bulgarian notation. Because your method names aren't lower camel case. Because good code doesn't require comments. Because you use classes & records over more performant structs, pointlessly burdening the heapstack. BECAUSE. YOUR CODE. IS. SHIT."
 
You clinch your fists so tightly the knuckles whiten.
 

15

He looks away from you, taking another sip of green goo. "You're not a coder. You're an artist masquerading as one" he speaks, as if it were fact.
 
The only thing artistic about you is the ability to create user-friendly internal tooling using nothing but a UI framework, broken down garbage nobody wants to touch, & sheer willpower. If your son's life depended on you getting accepted into art instruction school, you couldn't even draw a turtle.
 
He doesn't pause. "I'll champion ruthless micro-optimization until the day I die. But buddy, I'm going to let you in on a little secret: you aren't here to improve workflow. You're here to LOOK like you're doing something NOBODY else can."
 
He goes on. "What do you think those artists are going to do when they have to stare at a progress bar for 4, 5 minutes? They're going to complain your tool is slow."
 
"Sure, it may take them 20, 30 minutes to do it the old way, there'll be an error, and either they'll stare at it for 30 minutes before adding that missing semi-colon or they'll come get you. And you'll fix it. And 1 week later, they won't remember how. And you'll stay employed. And every. Body. Wins."
 

16

A little bit of the pride, the caring, wells back up inside from somewhere long forgotten.
 
"You don't think we should care about rapid application development & KISS, quickly getting things out that help our team, instead devoting ourselves to shaving off ticks here & there? What do you think artists are going to do with those 4 minutes you talk about?
 
You don't stop. "I'll tell you what they'll do. They'll 9GAG for 20 minutes straight. They'll listen to podcasts about dialectical materialism vis-a-vis the neo-feudalism that is a natural extension of the modern world's capitalist prison. They'll Reddit."
 
His silence gives you the bravery to push the limits.
 
"Christ, man. Are you only in it for the $120K..."
 
He corrects you: "...$123K."
 
"...only in it for the $123K/year? The free snacks from the microkitchen? The adulation? Have you no sense of comraderie?? No desire to push us to something better?! No integrity?!!!"
 
His eyes sharply narrow, face creases in anger. You clearly have overstepped your bounds.
 

17

"You think I don't have integrity? No sense of teamwork? I'm only in it for the cold cash? You think I don't care about you all?", he roars.
 
A light volley of small green flecks land on your face.
 
"Why do you think they made a 16-year old tester the lead developer of a 1993 Doom clone?! Because my code was clean & painless to work with?! Because I made coding look easy?! No! IT WAS BECAUSE I WAS A GOD TO THEM.
 
And from a God, a PANTHEON. We built monuments to over-engineering! We crafted that of 7 weeks onboarding, that of immortal bugs, demonic hosts spawned by legion from the very loins of a fix. It took 2 years before a developer could BEGIN to feel confident they knew what they were doing. And by that time, they were one of US!
 
You think the team we laid off November '19 was fired because they were bad at their jobs? NO! It was because they worked themselves out of one. They didn't leave us a broken pipeline. They left an internal Wiki, a wealth of tools & example projects, and a completely transparent code base.
 
We couldn't have THAT, now could we? No, we couldn't. So we got rid of it. ALL OF IT. Poof. Gone. Just like that. Before anyone even knew a THING."
 
He leans forward, so close his psoriasis almost touches yours.  
With an intensity that borders on frightening, he whispers "You think they left us Game.dll? I fucking *MADE** Game.dll."*
 
The words hit hard like a freight train.
 

18

And without another word, he turns & leaves. You're left there, alone, coworkers milling about, with only one thought.
     
Were one to get a hobby, should it be cocaine?
 

In Conclusion

It's these kinds of situations that make me believe there are far more important considerations than a ruthless dedication to performance, even in the game industry as my real-world scenario so clearly demonstrates.
 
Like, records are cool & shit.
submitted by form_d_k to shittyprogramming [link] [comments]

# /r/Peloton Pre-TDF Survey 2020

Gentlemen, Ladies and those otherwise addressed - we know you've been waiting for a good thing, and the survey results are finally ready!
The answers were collected from you all during August 2020 with 1428 unique replies. That's a participation of 0.5% of all subscribers! That's really not too bad, when you keep in mind how popular these kind of surveys are. But we here at /peloton want to show you that this is all about presenting the information in the subreddit to cater better to our audience!
Updated after a few hours to include some more historical data the final edit that for some reason wasn't copied properly
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018 Mar 2018 Aug 2019 2020
Results 2013-06-12 2014-06-25 2015-08-07 2016-11-17 2018-03-06 2018-08-20 2019-07-22 2020-10-12
Replies 351 598 1395 892 630 928 986 1428
Without further ado, let's get cracking on the response

You and Cycling

1. Where do you live?

Country 2015 2016 2018 Mar 2018 Aug 2019 2020
USA 32% 28.3% 22.84% 25.32% 20.23% 24.59%
UK 18.6% 17.6% 14.70% 20.13% 15.48% 14.80%
Netherlands 6.4% 9.4% 11.50% 11.58% 10.01% 11.01%
Germany 3.73% 3.4% 4.95% 6.39% 7.84% 6.65%
Denmark 3.9% 3.6% 4.31% 3.79% 7.64% 5.79%
Belgium 3.8% 2.7% 8.15% 3.57% 5.78% 5.36%
France 2.01% 1.08% 2.88% 2.27% 5.26% 3.50%
Canada 4.9% 7% 6.39% 4.22% 4.95% 4.50%
Australia 5.2% 4.7% 3.83% 4.00% 4.33% 3.93%
Slovenia 0.73% 0.32% 1.30% 1.14% 2.14%
Norway 2.58% 1.8% 1.60% 1.95% 2.58% 1.86%
Sweden 1.08% 1.09% 1.44% 1.41% 1.75% 1.43%
Ireland 1.00% 1.09% 1.44% 1.19% 0.72% 1.36%
Portugal 1.65% 1.8% 2.40% 1.52% 1.34% 1.14%
Italy 1.45% 1.44% 0.65% 1.03% 1.07%
Largely the same picture as ever, with the US leading the way, the UK in second and then a sliding scale of Europeans countries. Slovenia continues to pick its way up the pile for obvious reasons!
World Map to demonstrate

2. What's your age?

u17 17-19 20-25 26-30 31-35 36-40 41-50 51+ Total
2015 2.22% 12.04% 41.51% 24.66% 10.68% 4.87% 2.94% 1.08% 1395
2016 1.5% 8.9% 40.8% 24% 12% 5.4% 5.2% 2% 887
2018 Mar 1% 7.1% 33.5% 27.4% 16.2% 7% 5.7% 2.1% 617
2018 Aug 1.7% 9% 33.9% 26.4% 15.5% 7% 5% 1.5% 905
2019 1.5% 6.6% 33.2% 27.5% 16.4% 7.1% 5.8% 2% 972
2020 1.3% 6.8% 31.7% 28% 16.6% 7.2% 5% 2.5% 1420
Pretty much the same as last year, with the usual reddit demographics of majority 20 somethings dominating.

3. What's your gender?

'13 '14 '15 '16 '18 (1) '18 (2) '19 '20
Male 97.2% 97% 94.9% 93.4% 93.3% 93.6% 95.1% 94.9%
Female 2.8% 2.7% 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.4% 3.7% 4.8%
Other - 0.33% 0.29% 0.78% 0.76% - -
Non-Binary - - - - 0.64% 0.99% 1.2% 0.4%
More normality here for reddit.

4. How much of the men's season do you watch/follow?

Type March '18 (%) August '18 (%) 2019 (%) 2020 (%)
Grand Tours 84.7 92.0 90.2 87.3
Monuments 79.1 74.9 79 75.9
WT Stage races 67.4 62.4 70.5 71.7
WT One day races 73.3 59.8 62.3 60.7
Non WT Stage races 32.6 16.7 17.4 25
Non WT One day races 34.8 13.7 17.4 20.7
Literally everything I can consume 35.9 18.1 21.1 27.1
Whilst GT following may be down (somehow), all the lower level stuff is up, which makes sense considering how desperate we have been for any racing during the season shutdown.

5. Do you maintain an interest in women's professional road racing?

Do you maintain an interest in women's professional road racing? '19 '20
Yes 49.8 49.2
No 50.2 50.8
Still very much a half/half interest in women's cycling on the subreddit.

6. How much of the women's season do you follow?

The following is true for the half of you that follows womens cycling.
How Much %
Just the biggest televised events 63.15%
Most of the live televised/delayed coverage stuff 29.08%
All televised racing 5.09%
Down to .Pro & beyond 2.69%

7. How long have you been watching cycling?

How Long %
Under a year 2,95%
1-3 years 19,50%
4-6 years 19,85%
7-9 years 14,10%
10-12 years 13,81%
13-15 years 7,15%
15-20 years 10,73%
20-25 years 6,17%
25 years + 5,75%
Simplified the years a little this time, but whilst we have a fair number of newbies, most people have picked the sport up since around 2013/14.

Sporting Favourites

8. Do you have like/dislike feelings about WT teams?

Once more, 14.4% of people really don't have feelings on the subject.
Of those that do:
AG2R Astana Bahrain Bora CCC Cofidis Quick-Step EF FDJ
Like 352 213 127 770 156 116 847 724 423
Meh 775 620 773 415 889 896 310 448 700
Dislike 52 356 263 31 112 141 71 37 53
Karma 300 -143 -70 739 44 -25 776 677 370
Israel Lotto Michelton Movistar NTT Ineos Jumbo Sunweb Trek UAE
Like 135 364 517 231 101 304 925 279 383 118
Meh 740 764 626 646 931 414 282 805 765 734
Dislike 302 40 52 326 121 562 53 97 42 331
Karma -167 324 465 -95 -20 -258 872 182 341 -213
So, the most popular team this year is Jumbo-Visma, followed by Quick-Step & Bora-hansgrohe. Least popular are Ineos & UAE.
As per usual, no one cares about NTT & CCC, with nearly 81% of users rating NTT as meh. Pretty damning stuff.
Lastly, we have the usual historical comparison of how teams have fared over time, normalised to respondents to that question on the survey.
Things to note then, firstly that the Astana redemption arc is over, seeing them back in the negative, maybe Fulgsangs spring issues helped aid that? The petrodollar teams of UAE & Bahrain are stubbornly negative too, with Israel keeping up the Katusha negative streak. Meanwhile, at the top end, EF & Jumbo go from strength to strength, whilst some others like Sunweb are sliding over time - their transfer policies no doubt helping that.

10. Do you ride a bike regularly?

Answer 2018Mar 2018Aug 2019 2020
For fun 61.5% 63.4% 59.9% 62.9%
For fitness 59.3% 59.6% 54.8% 59.8%
For commuting 46% 46% 45.6% 40%
For racing 20.6% 20.6% 15.9% 17.7%
No, I don't 14.2% 12.9% 14.8% 13.6%
Still a fairly small group of racers out of all of us

11. Out of the sports you practice, is cycling your favourite?

Yes No
58,29% 41,71%
A new addition to the survey prompted by a good point last time, just over half of us rate cycling as the favourite sport we actually do.

12. What other sports do you follow?

Sport #
Association Football / Soccer 50.78%
Formula 1 35.81%
American Football 26.27%
Basketball 22.46%
Track & Field 17.58%
Esports (yes, this includes DotA) 17.30%
Rugby 14.27%
Skiing 14.12%
Ice Hockey 13.63%
Baseball 12.15%
Motorsports (Not including F1) 10.59%
Cricket 10.52%
Tennis 9.53%
Chess 8.97%
Triathlon 8.69%
Biathlon 8.12%
Snooker 7.06%
Golf 6.92%
Swimming 6.85%
Ski Jumping 6.78%
Climbing 5.72%
Martial Arts 5.65%
Handball 5.44%
Darts 5.01%
Speed Skating 5.01%
Football always tops the charts, and Formula 1 continues to rank extremely highly among our userbase. Those who have a little following below 5% include Sailing, Fencing, Surfing, Boxing & Ultra-Running.
Other cycling disciplines
Sport #
Cyclocross 22.10%
Track Cycling 14.34%
MTB 8.97%
BMX 1.20%

13. Out of the sports you follow, is cycling your favourite sport?

Yes No
61.79% 38,21%
Good. Makes sense if you hang out here.

Subreddit stats

14. How often do you participate in a /Peloton Race Thread whilst watching a race?

2015 2016 2018Mar 2018Aug 2019 2020
I always participate in Race Threads during races 2.8% 2% 2.2% 4% 2.5% 3%
I follow Race Threads during races 41.7% 36.7% 38.1% 42.1% 42.5% 38.9%
I often participate in Race Threads during races 16.8% 19% 16.5% 18.9% 15.2% 13%
I rarely/never participate in Race Threads during races 38.7% 41.3% 43.1% 35% 39.8% 45.1%
Slightly less invested than before, reverting back to an older trade.

15. How do you watch Races?

Method 2018Mar 2018Aug 2019 2020
Pirate Streams 62% 46.5% 50.2% 47.9%
Free Local TV 55.7% 64.5% 59.6% 53.9%
Desperately scrabbling for Youtube highlights 37.9% 30.2% 28.2% 24.9%
Paid Streaming services 32.3% 35.4% 38.3% 46.3%
Year on year, paid streaming services go up - the increasing availability of live content legally continues to improve, and so do the numbers on the survey.

16. Where else do you follow races live (in addition to watching them)?

Type 2018Mar 2018Aug 2019 2020
/Peloton race threads 86.2% 83.4% 80.2% 76.9%
Twitter 30.5% 34.7% 33.3% 38.3%
PCS Liveticker - - 30.2% 32%
Official tracker (if available) 24%
The Cyclingnews liveticker 26% 23.5% 21.5% 18.9%
Sporza (site/ticker) 1.89% 9.5% 10.8% 10.8%
NOS Liveblog - 6.8% 7% 9.2%
Steephill 0.52% 13.5% 10.2% 8.2%
/Peloton discord 6.5% 5.4% 7.5% 7.2%
Other cycling forums 15.1% 8.1% 7.6% 7%
feltet.dk - 2.2% 5.4% 5.2%
Facebook 3.8% 5.4% 4% 4.2%
BBC Ticker - 3.5% 2.1% 4.1%
DirectVelo - 1.3% 1.6% 1.8%
Non Cycling Forums - 1.3% 1.2% 1.2%
/cyc/ - 1.3% 1% 0.6%
/peloton IRC ~0 0.8% 0.4% 0.5%
The PCS liveticker continues to have a strong following, whilst the cyclingnews ticker slowly slides into less usage over time.

17. Do you use /Peloton mostly in classic reddit or redesign when on the desktop?

Type 2018 Aug 2019 2020
Classic 75.1% 67.2% 46.2%
Redesign 24.9% 32.8% 53.8%
Time to abandon ship. The end has come.

18. With what version of reddit do you browse the sub?

Version 2019 2020
Official App 17.9 31.1
Desktop Classic 37.8 25.8
3rd Party App 18.3 17.2
Mobile Web 12.4 14.7
Desktop Redesign 13.7 11.2
Phone browsing is very much in vogue.

19. How did you find the sub?

How %
Through other forms of reddit, f.e. /bicycling 48.33%
Too long - can't remember 38.65%
Google search 9,11%
My friend told me 2,28%
I wanted to talk about my exercise bike 0.78%
Twitter 0.5%
Lantern Rouge Youtube 0.28%

Other bits and bobs

20. Did you think back in March we would see any more racing this year?

Yes No
52,81% 47,19%
Despite the threat, we have seen racing again

21. Will we manage to fulfill the rest of the UCI calendar without further Covid-19 issues postponing more races?

Yes No
25.3% 74.7%
Sorry to you 25%, Amstel, Roubaix & a bunch of other races have falled foul of COVID-19 related cancellations.

22. When did you become aware of Alexander Foliforov?

When %
Before the 2016 Giro 3,25%
22nd May, 2016 15,55%
On /pelotonmemes in 2020 21,13%
Who? 60,07%
If you didn't know of the man, watching him demolish the Giro field in 2016 on the stage 15 ITT should help to gain understanding

23. Who will win the 2020 Tour de France?

Rider %
Roglic 52,12%
Bernal 16,57%
Pinot 9,24%
Dumoulin 7,9%
N.Quintana 2,82%
Pogacar 1,41%
Richie Porte 0,35%
We can safely say that most of us were wrong about this one.
That's not a lot of confidence in Richie Porte either, the man who was to finish on the third spot of the podium. Alexander Foliforov (0,23%) had just a tiny number of votes less, and that man wasn't even in the race.

24. What for you was the defining cycling moment of the previous decade?

We had a lot of brilliant suggestions, but these were the clear five favourites when we tabulated the results.
Honorable mentions go to the Giro 2018, which had Tom Dumoulin winning, and of almost identical fascination to many of you - Tom Dumoulin going on someones porta-potty in the middle of the stage.
Little bit of recency bias perhaps, but that's better than ignoring that this was for the last decade and firmly insisting Tom Boonens 2005 WC win was the biggest thing. Special shoutout to almost all the Danes present in /peloton who voted for Mads Pedersens WC win last year. It's an understandable reaction.

25. Any suggestions for the Survey?

New Questions
We promise to feature one of these suggestions in the next survey
Suggestions
We will try to implement this. But it will also skew results.
About the Survey
The subscribers are torn on Women's cycling, nearly a 50/50 split there as the survey showed - The moderators at /peloton are firmly in the "more cycling is better" basket, and we will continue to get as good coverage of womens cycling as possible.
Are you trying to give the moderators PTSD? Because this is how you give the moderators PTSD.

26. Any suggestions for the sub?

ALSJFLKAJSLDKJAØLSJKD:M:CSAM)=#/()=#=/")¤=/)! - Your moderator seems to be out of function. Please stand by while we find you a new moderator
The Weekly threads are great for these types of questions, where several people can contribute and build up once it is understood which information is relevant.
Our experience is that "limited" will never be so, if we're going to moderate it fairly. Moderating is not a popularity contest, but believe it or not, we're actually trying to be as fair as possible. and for that, we need rules that are not subjective. Unless you have a stationary exercise bike.
All of these are good suggestions, but remember that all of you can also contribute - The mods are sometimes stretched thin, specially in the middle of hectic race schedules. It's easier if one of you has a way to contact a rider or a person of interest and can facilitate the initial communication.
We've worked on this! The Official Standard is now as follows: [Race Thread] 202x Race Name – Stage X (Class)
This sounds as a nice community project for the after-season, and hopefully many of you subscribers can contribute.
Come with suggestions on how to tidy it up!
We have chastised all the mods. They are now perfectly trained in gender-neutral pronouns. Be well, fellow being.
If we can implement this for hard liquor, you know we will.
The spoiler rule is one that is discussed frequently - in general - some users absolutely hate it, but a majority love it. Perhaps we'll include a question in the next survey to see how this divide is exactly.
We actually do - whenever there is a matter of life or death, we think public information is more important than a spoiler rule. But at the same time, we try to collect all the different posts into one main thread, so to keep things focused and letting very speculative posts meet with hard evidence from other sources.
This is a tough ask of the internet. While we can agree that voting should be done accordingly to what insights they bring, not subjective opinions, it is very hard to turn that type of thinking around. We can ask of you, our subscribers, that you please think twice about hitting that downvote button, and only do so because of you think a post is factually incorrect, not because it differs with your own subjective opinion.
That's the primary analysis of the survey! Feel free to contribute with how you experience things here!
submitted by PelotonMod to peloton [link] [comments]

Modern Serialization and Star Trek: Re-imagining TNG to put Discovery and modern Trek in context

This is going to be one of those shower thought posts that exploded to be far larger than I originally hoped, so my apologies in advance.
It's no secret or unspoken thing that Star Trek: Discovery differs largely in terms of presentation from previous Trek series, and that is due in large part to it being a 14-episode, serialized series, versus the majority of Trek, which has been almost entirely episodic. DS9 sort of bucks this trend with major serialized arcs, and continuity between episodes (characters actually change!), as does Voyager. Enterprise, too, takes a bigger step towards serialization, as events from past episodes frequently shape those of later episodes, and characters change both in relationship and attitude over the series (to the extent that the writing allowed).
However, for Trek's 2017 return, DIS was brought to the screen in a radically different way-- instead of episodic seasons punctuated with serialized arcs and minor continuity threads sprinkled throughout, it was a tightly-woven story (insofar as it could be, given its original showrunner left midway through the development of the series) concentrated on one, continuing arc, following the trend of other prestige television shows that define the Golden Age of TV.
This is attributable to a few likely things: preference by the writers, the demands of CBS, and wanting to use the show to launch All Access, which necessarily demanded a "Game of Thrones-style" flagship. The smaller episode count, too, enables more budget per episode-- in 1988, an episode of TNG cost ~$1.3 million USD, which, with inflation, equaled about $2 million USD in 2016, when Discovery was being developed; Discovery's first season ran a reported $8.5 million per episode. Even at only 14 episodes versus TNG's first 24 episode season, DIS S1 cost more than double the amount to produce. This level of cost and detail means playing it safer, but also, means reusing props, prosthetics, and CGI assets to make sure that bang-for-your-buck is ensured. Thus, a series with a relatively consistent setting.
Season 1 of DIS tells a specific story, with distinct acts, a beginning, a middle, a climax, and a conclusion, and sets up plot points that are raised and resolved (along with others left dangling for future seasons). In terms of structure, it looks something like this:
  1. "The Vulcan Hello" (beginning)
  2. "Battle at the Binary Stars" (Act 1 concludes)
  3. "Context Is for Kings"
  4. "The Butcher's Knife Cares Not for the Lamb's Cry"
  5. "Choose Your Pain"
  6. "Lethe"
  7. "Magic to Make the Sanest Man Go Mad"
  8. "Si Vis Pacem, Para Bellum"
  9. "Into the Forest I Go" (middle) (Act 2 concludes)
  10. "Despite Yourself"
  11. "The Wolf Inside"
  12. "Vaulting Ambition"
  13. "What's Past is Prologue" (Act 3 concludes)
  14. "The War Without, The War Within"
  15. "Will You Take My Hand?" (Act 4 concludes, thematic climax)
And it follows a few core plot threads:
This is all a pretty large departure from previous Trek, where some character threads are sprinkled throughout the series, like Riker maturing as an officer, or Sisko growing into his role as the Emissary as well as a Captain. Some things are more contained, like Picard dealing with the trauma of his assimilation and being used to murder 15,000 people by fighting in the mud with his brother on their vineyard.
This new structure has been received with mixed results by the Trek community (though the consensus seems to be it's working, considering we're at three seasons with two more on the books and two spinoffs on the way), and I think a large part of that is that, while serialization lets the writers tell longer, more detailed, and more complex stories, episodic shows enable writers to tell more varied, unique, and "special" shows.
With DIS, we're not going to have a "Measure of a Man", unless the season is set up to support it. However, with the TNG model, we're not going to have characters change much over time, and the reset button is going to come into play at the end of every season (if not every episode...looking at you, Voyager).
This leads me to the original shower thought that prompted this post: while rewatching The Neutral Zone in TNG S1, it made me wonder what TNG would've looked like had it adopted a similar model, where, presumably, the Borg would have been central to the plot, as would Q. So, I present to you below, my model for TNG S1, were it made in 2020 in an episodic, DIS-style, and leave it there for your consideration as to the future of the franchise, and what possibilities may come from coming series like Strange New Worlds, which may see a come-back of the episodic style.
My presumption for this new S1 is that it would borrow elements from S2 and S3 of TNG, as it would, generally, have tighter writing (given far fewer hours of film).
TNG Re-Imagined
Season 1
And that's TNG S1! S2's theme would be more regular exploration with hints of Borg, and probably another plot or plot(s), and S3 would, of course, culminate in BoBW.
Now, I could be way off the mark, but given how Trek is written now, and what it was back then, that's how I'd see something playing out in 2020. Note, though, that even in this format, one finds places to put in some semi-episodic episodes, not unlike Discovery S3 thus far. Hopefully, that means we get the chance for some truly unique, almost-standalone moments in the coming years.
submitted by tyrannosaurus_r to startrek [link] [comments]

A proposal to eliminate the spread of COVID-19 in Ireland

This is a long one. There is no TL;DR, but Google tells me it should take about 10 minutes to read. Or, you can skip to The Plan - Summary if you want the bullet points.
But why should you give this any time at all?
My background is in data analysis. Making sense of numbers is what I do for a living. I have been studying COVID-19 since I was locked down in March and the experience has been frustrating in equal measure. The difference between what was happening on the ground, and the story that the media told was genuinely alarming. The government / NPHET never even tried to stop the virus getting into the country, and no one held them to account for their (non)decisions. The disastrous consequences are all around us, and much of it was preventable.
Six months later, and the country has barely moved on. The ‘experts’ have no goals and little control over the virus. The media frame every issue as a crass binary choice between more or less restrictions and are otherwise happy just to have people to point their fingers at. The government / NPHET has nothing to offer the people, other than admonishments to do better and repeated cycle of restrictions.
Meanwhile students, artists, the over 70s, small business owners, the entire events and hospitality industries, and regular people who cannot WFH have been left swinging in the wind. Some have been evicted, others are relying on drugs to get by. This situation is not just a problem for one or two parts of our society: this is a widespread degradation of our quality of life. If I can do anything to help, I feel obliged to try.

Context
As I see it, we have three choices:
I won’t argue over technocratic definitions like ‘elimination’, ‘eradication’ or ‘suppression’. These distinctions are semantic in an environment of oppressive civic restrictions, mass unemployment, waves of business closures, and general misery. Whatever gets us to a place where we can live our lives as normal (or close enough), and the public health infrastructure can take care of the virus, that’s what I’m aiming for.
This proposal cannot work without public support. No proposal can work without public support. Public adherence is the single most important variable in the equation, yet it is the one that the politicians and the media and the ‘experts’ have ignored. FG burned through a lot of goodwill in the first lockdown (and money, and resources, and lives…). Instead of vilifying people who aren’t adhering to the rules, policymakers need to recognise the sacrifices that the people made (which were subsequently squandered) and they need to earn that trust back.
This proposal cannot work without support from the North. That doesn’t mean that we need to convince them to adopt our plan. It means we need to convince them that the goal is worthwhile and achievable. From there we can work together to coordinate our policies. Managing our own affairs with competence, would be a good start. Picking up the phone to talk to them, instead of trying to browbeat them through the media, would also help.
Irrespective of your goals or beliefs, some facts are certain: there will be lockdowns, there will be government spending to support the economy, and the virus will demand public health resources. All of that will happen in the coming months and years, whether we have a plan or not. The question is whether those resources are used to solve the problem, or whether they are wasted on a plan that keeps us going around in circles.
So yes, there will be lockdowns in this proposal, but they will not be FG lockdowns i.e. lock them down and throw away the key. Through intelligent policies and a greater mobilisation of resources, we can do so much more with our lockdowns to reduce the burden on the people and make their experience more tolerable. Indeed, that trade-off always exists in public policy: better policymaking = happier people. Which is why the politicians usually get the blame, and rightly so.
We need to move to a more ‘war time’ mindset. Not because we need a shared enemy to unite us, but because we need to mobilise every possible resource at our disposal and focus it on the single most important issue affecting us all. We need more tests, we need vehicles for mobile testing units, we need facilities for quarantines. Wherever there is spare capacity, we need to find a way to put it to good use. We need to take most of the power away from the narrow-minded medics, and get the rest of our society and our civic infrastructure involved in planning e.g. community representatives, legal experts, business leaders, An Garda, the army etc.
People want to invest in their communities, they want to help their friends and neighbours. There are people all over the country who would rather be volunteering as part of a national plan to get rid of COVID-19, than to be sitting at home on the PUP, going crazy listening to the ‘experts’ – who failed to prevent this – talk about more lockdowns. We need to harness that latent energy and build it into the plan.
One of the most important factors that is within our control, is the degree to which policymakers communicate with the people. And I mean real communication, not press releases or attention-seeking speeches from the other side of the world. We need to talk to the people, listen to them, answer their questions, take their feedback on board. The people aren’t stupid. They know a good plan when they see it – which is why few are paying attention to the ‘Living With The Virus’ stuff – and they have valuable information that can help make that plan work.
Underlying these points is a need to create intelligent rules, and to enforce them strictly. Strict does not mean harsh. Strict enforcement is not authoritarianism, and it is not an invitation to a fight; it is simply administrative competence. In the context of a contagious outbreak, administrative competence is the difference between life and death.
I’ll finish this section with the caveat that all parameters are suggestions or placeholders. The exact numbers will depend on resources, on more data and further analysis, and on input from communities and other stakeholders – all of which is within our control.

The Plan – Summary
Like any problem in life, if you can’t solve it directly, you break it down into smaller, less complex parts.
Instead of putting the whole country into lockdown and trying to eradicate the virus from the whole island at the same time – a miserable experience for all – we should go county by county until the job is done. We seal off a county, flood it with resources, clear it of COVID-19, and then let it reopen as normal. We repeat the process for neighbouring counties and then combine them when they are cleared, to create a larger ‘Cleared Zone’. The process continues and the Cleared Zone keeps growing until it covers the whole island.
This approach allows us to focus our resources on one area at a time (nurses, doctors, tests, volunteers etc) instead of spreading them over the whole country. We can be more comprehensive in our testing and quarantining measures, and more confident in our plans. Short, sharp, strict lockdowns work best.
By maximising the ratio of resources to population, we also lower the burden on the people. In particular, we minimise the amount of time that people spend in lockdown, and the less time they spend in lockdown, the more likely the plan is to work.
This structured approach also makes it easier for us to measure our progress and make reliable forecasts. We can allocate our resources more efficiently and plan our responses more effectively. Observers can watch our progress and judge for themselves whether it is a good idea (i.e. politicians in the North and / or protestors in Dublin).
Perhaps most important of all, the structure makes it easier to explain the idea to the people and get buy-in before anything happens. We can outline the plan, explain how it works, explain how it compares to the alternatives, and then give them realistic estimates of what would be required and how long it would take. Then we can hear their feedback and take the conversation and planning from there.
I have heard any people talking about elimination and ZeroCovid, but do any of them have a plan for getting to zero? Or a plan to get the people on board?
Step 1: More structure and responsibility from leaders
Step 2: Less uncertainty, easier decisions, better outcomes, less stress for everyone
Step 3: Profit. Elimination.

The Plan – Implementation
We isolate a county and lock it down for an initial 3 weeks. An Garda man the county borders. They are supported by the army, who provide boots on the ground so that An Garda aren’t stretched. Most routes are closed off so that all essential travel goes through a few well-manned checkpoints. If we do a good job with planning and communication, there won’t be much work to do.
We test systemically high-risk households and high-risk individuals early and often i.e. large households and essential workers. With help from local volunteers, medics screen as many people as possible every day. We use multiple measures and repeated applications to improve the quality of our results. We want to identify and remove cases at the earliest possible point, both to reduce the chance of further infection, and to protect the individual’s health.
Low risk confirmed cases (young / healthy) go to a safe and comfortable quarantine. Local hotels and guest houses could be used, ideally before we invest in building quarantine facilities. Local taxis, kitted out with extra protective equipment, could take them there. High risk confirmed cases (older / comorbidities) go by ambulance to local medical facilities as required.
During this period, we work with local politicians, community leaders, residence associations etc to ensure that everyone is looked after (in reality, these conversations will have started weeks before). We get our neighbourhoods communicating, looking out for each other, making sure they’ve got enough food or heating or whatever else they need. Local volunteers and taxi drivers can do odd jobs like sending packages, collecting prescriptions, lifting heavy stuff, or just checking in on people. If it is feasible, we can even invite local artists to play gigs for people in their streets or apartments.
Towards the end of the second week, we begin a mass testing program with the ultimate goal of testing every person in the county (scale depends on resources). Once we have completed the tests and cleared the confirmed cases into quarantine, we can begin a slow, staggered opening process. We must be especially conservative at this point to ensure no slippage.
When one county is clear, we move to the next one, and repeat the process. When we have cleared two bordering counties, we can join them together in a bigger Cleared Zone and the process continues from there. Eventually the Cleared Zone covers the whole country, except Dublin (or more realistically, the Pale).
What would the other counties do while they wait for their turn? I’m assuming that, they would be doing whatever the ‘Living With The Virus’ plan dictates. This proposal succeeds in line with what happens in the sealed off zones, so I am more concerned with them. However, it would speed up the process if the bordering counties could be encouraged to get a head start. If the plan is going successfully, I’m confident they would.
With its population density and its complexity, Dublin / the Pale will be the last county to be cleared. However, given that every other county would be cleared by that point, and with so much effort having been put in, it might make more sense just to burn Dublin down. We could go with a concrete mausoleum as per Chernobyl, but it might be easier and quicker if we just raised the city and started from scratch. The country needs to rebalance, so it’d be two birds with one stone.
Or maybe we call that plan B. Dublin’s plan A would follow the same principles as for the rest of the country. Break it into smaller parts, focus resources on one area at a time, use layers of risk measures where precision isn’t an option, and get cases as early as possible, using whatever resources available. By that stage the rest of the country would be clear and the demand for medical resources low. We would have learned a lot along the way, and we would have plenty of ammo to throw at the problem.
In general, the more resources we have, the faster we can move. The county by county approach that I have outlined above is too slow. With greater resources, we can increase the number of counties that are being cleared at any one time. One option is to work by province. Another would be to define the zones with respect to observed travel routes, in order to reduce the risk of leakage and reduce the inconvenience on local communities.
At the end of the day, lines have to be drawn somewhere, and some people will inevitably lose out. The better we communicate with people in advance, the lower the burden on the people and the more of these problems we can avoid.
Following on from that, one of the skills we need to take from this crisis is the ability to isolate and quarantine regions. Whether it is a city, a town, a county, a specific building, or even the entire country, we need to be able to seal it off and control movement in and out. This is an essential tool for outbreak management – whatever the outbreak and whatever the disease.
The same goes for individuals. We need to be able to create and operate safe, comfortable, and effective quarantines, and to do so at short notice. It should be a matter of national embarrassment that FG and NPHET couldn’t even organise a quarantine in a pandemic.
The whole process might take 3 to 4 months. That means we would have cut off all non-essential air travel for that time, but it doesn’t mean the whole country is in lockdown for 3 or 4 months. The lockdown is staggered, and the individual’s experience will depend on their location and their place in the ‘queue’.
The first group of counties to go into lockdown will also be the first to come out. Once they have eliminated the spread of the virus, they will return to a normal, although somewhat isolated, society. The experience steadily improves as more and more counties join them in the Cleared Zone (or steadily deteriorates, depending on your county pride).
While the first group is in lockdown, the rest of the country continues as normal i.e. living with the virus. Everyone watches as the first group goes through its lockdown (just think of the #banter). Several weeks later, as the first group is opening up, the second group is preparing to go in to lockdown. As the second group comes out, the third group goes in etc etc and the staggered lockdowns roll like a wave across the country.
Every county goes from Living With The Virus -> intelligent lockdown (needs a better name) -> Cleared Zone. The earlier you are in the queue, the less time you spend Living With The Virus and the more time you spend in the Cleared Zone. The individual would only be in a strict lockdown for a matter of weeks, maybe 3-6 depending on the complexity of the region and the resources available. For counties with smaller populations that have shown that they can do a good lockdown, it will be quicker. For Dublin, it will be slower.

Strengths
I think this proposal has a lot of strengths. It’s a plan, for a start. We haven’t had a plan since this thing began (the FG lockdown wasn’t a plan – it was the inevitable consequence of not having a plan). The leaders take more responsibility to lower the burden on the people, it mobilises idle resources, and it fosters communication and community across the country.
These are three strengths that I want to emphasise.
1 It provides clarity
This might be the most important point.
Uncertainty is painful. Uncertainty is a cost. Even if the bad thing is unlikely to happen, just the fact that it is a risk, or that it could happen means that you live with a cloud over your head. Suffering is bad enough on its own, but suffering for an unknown length of time is torture. And if that period is determined at the whim of a politician or an ‘expert’, that is a recipe for society-wide anger and even civil disorder.
With this proposal, we can forecast the length of the period of lockdown with greater accuracy. The people will be able to understand what is being asked of them. We can make plans around resources required versus those available. The economists can make forecasts. Businesses can plan their finances. The people can plan their weddings, book their holidays, get back to training, sign up for courses, and have things to look forward to.
At the end of the day, any successful proposal must remove the uncertainty and provide meaningful clarity to households and businesses.
2 Never let a crisis go to waste
This plan will require tools and capabilities like rapid local testing, safe quarantines, rapid isolation of towns and regions, emergency decision-making frameworks etc. If we don’t have a capability, then we need to build it. When people say ‘never let a crisis go to waste’ this is what they mean: you build the tools in the crisis that will help you protect yourself from the next one.
Nature works the same way. You lift weights until the muscle fibres tear, then they grow back stronger. We build aerobic endurance by pushing ourselves to a limit, then our body naturally reacts to increase the limit. A vaccine works similarly by stimulating antibodies for the disease. Well, we need a civic emergency vaccine for Ireland. These tools are the antibodies that will protect us next time. The sooner we build them, the better. Now is the time, not later.
3 It's the only way we can protect the economy
The risk to the economy isn’t the next few months of revenue. We can borrow to cover lost income in the short run. The real risk is a wave of defaults that precipitates a financial crisis.
As more individuals and businesses are put under financial pressure, more borrowers will default on their debts. But one man’s debt is another man’s asset, so as the borrowers default, the lender’s financial situation also deteriorates. Defaults are contagious, and if a wave of defaults threatens a major lender, the entire financial system will be at risk.
Only an elimination plan can protect the economy. Along with the virus and the uncertainty it creates, we need to eliminate the risk of financial contagion.

Weaknesses
Could ya be arsed

The End Goal
Think about what’s on the other side of this…
This is a massive challenge – the kind that defines a nation. However you think of your community, this would give you something to be proud of for generations. It would be like Italia ’90, except 10 times bigger, because we would be the players, we would be the ones making it happen.
We’d become the first country in Europe to eliminate the virus. And of all the countries in the world, we’d be doing it from the largest deficit too. Those Taiwanese and Kiwis made it easy for themselves with their preparation and their travel restrictions and their competent leaders. Our challenge is much greater than theirs, but they show us what is possible.
Have you ever wanted to scoff at the Germans for being disorganised? Wouldn’t you love to have a reason to mock the Danes? Aren’t you sick of hearing about New Zealand? Let’s make the Kiwis sick of hearing about the Irish!
If we take this challenge on, the world’s media will be on us. The FT, the Economist, the NYT, the Guardian, Monacle, Wired, the New Scientist, China Daily, RT, Good Housekeeping, Horse and Hound, PornHub… all of these international media empires would be tracking our progress, interviewing key people, reporting daily, willing us on. The world is desperate for good news, and we can be the ones to give it to them.
We would become a model for other nations to follow. They would take the Irish model and adapt it to their own situation. Instead of us copying other nations, they would be copying us. Instead of a pat on the head for the diddy little Irish fellas, we would be literally LEADING THE WORLD.
Back at home, we get our lives back, and society can breathe again, free of restrictions. The over 70s come out of hibernation. The students go back to university. The protests stop because people go back to work and we announce an inquiry into what exactly happened in February and March. The pubs go back to being pubs. Our hospitality industry is taken off life support. The tidal wave of bankruptcies is avoided. We can play sport and celebrate the wins. We stop talking about things we can or can't do. Just imagine that first session... And imagine how good it would feel knowing that you had worked for it, and knowing that you had set the nation on a better path for generations to come...
I think it’s worth a lash! Don’t you?
submitted by 4SMD1MCW to ireland [link] [comments]

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